Why not design future around 7 billion wonderful livelihoods

OUR HOPES & PRAYERS GO WITH PRESIDENT BIDEN AND QUEEN ELIZABETH BEING THE 2 MOST CURIOUS HUMANS EMPIRES HAVE EVER CREATED

diversity gamechangers in washington dc admin are rare- can raimondo be one? biden ai panel boldly goes where dc never has since v neumann

Tuesday, November 16, 2021



 jake says biden on high

quad east asia

world lead covid

muscle at cop26

ended 17 yera dispute boeing aurvbus

right ruels of raod of 1t and pushed back on china nonn-market

reviewing new norms standrads digital space india pacific

just pased 2 doemstiv bills

alliances with korae japan trneger than ever

that is context of 3 hour virtaul meet with xi last night


start with sorting out domestic cogerence to comepte internatioanly

intenese ocmetition eeds intese diplomacy

carried forward dialoguesd over a decade - nbut never more impoertant tah durect leader to elader communication

so biden abd xi sgare perception of eraltuosn betwien countries

biden saud usa clear vision futute - sheinzen taiwan honng kong issues and human rights more generally from 1776 words of doi

need to protect amerucan workers from unfari practices

inso paccific soncerenne -s south/east china sea

ensiure prosieperity ergion usa underwrote for decadees


lot of tiem oin taieqwan - 3 joing comuniques - biden had voted for denate taiawan act so knows hostory

leaders discuess where miscommunc-catrion causes riseks

biden streesed need common sense guard rails biden ofetn quietes fatger only conf,itc worse then iniuetned in unintednded


bed fro 2 coulntreis wirg wh-rlkd ekadung acaocuetie sto cioeronate'health - narcitics - climates miyst be cooeprartuon 

joint statetment chian-ke=rry at cop26 ceebrate but build on thsi dev=cise cliamtre decage

nkora afgnaista confict iseeus

how can price volatitlity.logistics not stall global economy

us contributes to global problem solving for everyone benehf[ist and expecst same of chian

bideb understands us peopels prosperity interacts withalmpeopels prsoeperity

biden is working forban afronative vision of fair ibterenationswillc omete ons targegths and value - tap us dna of renewal and inno9vatrion and determination and self-quetionin'chousce leading teh world ir lettingw orld pass by

american peopel continue to wish to shape 21st and that is why is has the policy it has

------------------questionswaht uyou see as next steps after this meeting

caregory 1 interestes to cloisely cooridnate eg covidd climate - build on ketrry jointbstatement implementinga ctions

on covid still questions on origins of epidenic but to beat teh epidemic needs worldwide vacciantion colab


bucket 2 - iemeddiate chalelnges where us-china have wo0rkded hsitoricallay but no9w new moment p5 plus 1 deal with iran ;; ditto way forward good faity n korea


bucket 3 how to effectcbely manage diefefreces - clear communitcation osn eg taiwan staright between dipomates, militarty and policy makers - guard raules needed at all leveles


amnassoasor tai now endgaged her counterpart on minutial of tradeing rules netx t-= also how both side deal with majo endrgy crucnch so taht the whoel world economy can continue fprward


this top 2 realtions needs sonssreny of mediation/iteractoion betwen leaders and iuntelcarors who clarify areas orf progress and be transparent where conflicst rill exsist


- thsi is first bilateral of diden in power innspitre fpo 10 yers of knowing each other-mmost consequentuialnrelationship omnplanet 

jake they are familiae=rw ityneb ach other-nthey both revert back to 109 yeras of conversstions - eg as you said a few yeras ago - geneuine give and take - bdoy of work with each othertaht can be brought inti coneration ; bot thatke therir ersponsibility t0o tehrir epoeples serously ; but point 3 biden is always going t0o be biden - wont aand down demssage son gard ussyes - eg atiwan straight , deep belief in huamn rights. advocacy for amwerican workers beung subject to unafair economic issues


\no sode tried to cut cirners on such trasnparent exchnge

rappirt/dnamic impostant tpo gtwp

question 4 we have heard chiense talk about apossibulity to add 100s of warheads and new tech siper sonic=- was tehre a discussion on thsi arms forward front- we are the bonly 2 countriesd to understand thsie techs

jake this is important question for anatioanl securit of usa with china and isa with russia

-iseue was raied but also very confidential - so on the book s as continuous area of discussion - startegic tability - that is not the dsme as rusiissa where we have longer hisrory of strategu=ic securuty discsussions

brookinsg most umpoiratant conversation of 21 century 

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panel debate brookings



ryan hass 2 new books main east asian - see eg global chona 

cheng li  -latest book middle class shanghai

lady does ai security

josh international law- digital trade law at melbourne previousy georgetown


what did meetinga chieve

speker asks ryan forst

context continuum last 10 minths when bideb eneterded office us-china had become disfunbtional public dgeradation of both sudes- tried to restore trust; put a floor for going forward - runaway escalation not in eitehr sides interests; ryan i expect doemstiv issues will dominate next 12 months - netwother side will wnat to bee seen as soften ing so frim ceilining as well as floor

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chengl liomtellectaul stimulating briefing'

my reading sucess on both sides - last 3 yeras amazing cricisosm of ach oether causing huge risks inclusing inetrnet acidentasl

this meeting on its own is not goinf to reset stability -wil takke much nore world but does biden have platform at hime to make progress - does ci with hsi elections in may

still we mst stop free fall in relations - we need ersposbility on both sides of leaders group


---josh- i agree with what ryan and chind said - nb there was little of last noght on trade /economic releationships- so we are saying that is stuck for year - biden has to redesign doemstic siti=uation - wider focus on how allies come into this - provides resetting - nothing saig on hot button tarifs? we know ambassasfdor tsia on us side is conntuing trump ntrade relationsnhip until something both sides co-craete; purs responsibility on china compaliace - ...

jesica view- i see thsi similatly; to josh - wasnt meeting expecting outcomes; on the values dside there is no quicj room for manouevre on eiteher sude ; yech issues being advanced in ither forum eg tgc quad

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tound 2 - question of taiwan  (andera mitcelsls cps , camiilas shift cbs)

will floor hold; are gurad rails enough ..

ryan very intersting tos ee both sides readout on this issue - still quite a lot of difference - but beijing claruifies it accepts biden has never argued for taiwan independece but frustartion is adminsitration internatioanlsoation if issue by us to japan, korea keeps making noise on teh sussue - traeatng taiwan as feature of us-chian competition - this yaiwan approach unites republican d dmeocrativ politicians (yuk!!0

taiwan has 40 yera hostory- we need to be consustet;-------------------

cheng - can you takj about economics and monent of xi's next 6 moths cementing xi's role

cheng- foreign pilicies increasing dreiven bty doemstics

xi began - we should each run our doemstuc affairs welll-- xi says thsi both interenationally and to domestivc udieneces;;;; china wants to do its won job well;

economic disparity ; property bubbel ebvitonmemgt pressure food safety health issued; corruption all tasks chian facingtrasnition congres sparty next fall whil xi will likely starty over halk of fofficaisls will chnage at every leve; - tahts wheat teh 5 yera process is about


it is in chinad interest doemsti stability and conducive extrena l environment


anti-american posts not publiseh on shina twitter this last week!!

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question to josh - comment more on little economic discsission--- specifics of trade

-both sides frustrated by tehse traifs - where will progress begin - austrlaima nanswer - at some level relationship has ti be betetr than being in strom trump

tamping down teh teemperatur - focus on what really maters to usa; tarife xclusinon where chian is the only supply source;; 550 bn trade even during covid show there is extreme trade interdependence - ploticians weaponsising both sudes; why doe this helpmpeoples?

where will answers be found on export control; investment screening; unless done carefully will just hiurt boith sides; us admin need sto think throuigh re-eage tcpp indo-pacfofic chess board;  china is core of trade archiyecture whioe usa isnt - isbthat the opitics the us wants?


stes teh stage where us allies needd to remap everytging

==========

? efforts aliging allies bthe sides

jessica you have wriiten chia has interated tech into its total approach

can usa do thsi too?

jessica - its a key question - tech is the mkst intense battle groujd; ot is assumymetric; need to find our adcantages farem assymetry


understand sources of our cometitiveness na dhow we get innovations rs intonoyr critical tech ; updating burecratic processes and norms; exgmages gov and private - tendering processes et; 3rd leveraging assymetruc adabactes of ours and doin son with our allies

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ryan tech is core of competition - we both need to play defense - prevent leak of our tech

but important we play offence - we need to get back to attracting best world talent in tech

====================

moserator jake put empgasis on leader to leader dialogue

how isvthatsustained? eg qyuarantining still making travel hard for leaders circles

xi calls biden old friend which biden shrugs off

cheng- biden said you and i should not be that formal - 11 meeting ; 4 tike mainly one to on; traveled together; used to phone each other a lot under obama-- xi said china will consider access to business men easing after covid---- can we get back to person person meetings;; this wasfirst time leades taked about fitre collab on health


jake- we have no precednt complex relationshipbwithout face to face - alaka, zurich meets have tried to narrow gaps/expectations

both made cpsistent openingstatements to press;;; expext more of process

2 leaders meet

teams make progress

repeat

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ref tom wright - doun=be dpeak of all human rights movements

tech yools can amplify mis-coms


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